Publications

In the last few weeks, gold has not followed the curve of the rates and there is now a decorrelation between the 10-year rates and the gold price. Since 2009, the two indices have been following one another fairly closely, and the latest gaps between the curves of these two indices have always been...

Russia’s sovereign wealth fund cuts US dollar reserves to zero while boosting the share of the euro, the Chinese yuan and gold, the country’s Finance Ministry announced on Tuesday.

On the one hand gold signifies stability, wealth and the only currency that has survived in history and maintained its purchasing power. That is why governments around the world allegedly hold 34,000 tonnes of it currently valued at $2 trillion. On the other hand governments hate gold since it revea...

Gold is a matter of national strategy - an economic strategy - a line of defense. Whoever has gold does not belong to anyone - he or she keeps gold without obligation, Orbán stressed. He stated that the Hungarian gold reserve plays a very important role in the total Hungarian foreign exchange reserv...

An ideal setup. The gold-to-silver ratio looks ready to tumble again. It’s what you would expect in a bull market for precious metals.

The economic actors’ confidence regarding the central banks’ ability to correct this inflation, which they deem to be transitory, is certainly not open to question today. However, without rapid and specific action by these central banks (particularly on interest rates), this patience, which is also...

Gold is an eternally stable asset. It has one of the lowest levels of volatility one can find anywhere on the stock markets. What’s more, variations of an extreme nature are very rare. Furthermore, by contrast with most other assets, the absolute gold variations demonstrate stability and a high degr...

Real interest rates are negative in the U.S. across all maturities, which is in favor of gold. While debt is exploding and depreciating, the ratio of debt to GDP is also rising. There will be no return to normalcy. Collapse is inevitable when the paper money created loses its effect. And it will dra...

There are several important factors affecting gold prices. Many analysts focus mainly on the US dollar and real interest rates. However, what is sometimes even more important is economic confidence. Of course, the level of economic confidence is partially reflected in the strength of the greenback a...

Marc Friedrich interviews silver expert Keith Neumeyer, who has founded several silver companies and has been in the mining industry for decades. Now he foresees the biggest bull market in precious metals history and expects a three-digit silver price within the next few years.

We note an average gold's performance of +8.17% per year, then +8.69% per year over the last twenty years. No liquid asset has performed this well over such a long period. It is reported that an investment offering an annual return of +7.18% can double its capital in ten years. Therefore, gold inves...

What was it that caused the sheer scale of this fall? Did the Fed raise interest rates brusquely and sharply, leading to a reaction like this on gold? The conclusions of the Fed’s meeting last week are far from dramatic, though. Nonetheless, they had the effect of an electric shock.

Investing successfully is primarily about managing risk rather than maximising profits. As we reach the end of the biggest bull market in history, investors feel so secure that risk has become an irrelevance.

We will have either more lasting high inflation (but the Fed is slow to admit it), or the Fed doesn’t really want to increase its interest rates substantially. In both cases, gold should benefit, either from higher inflation and lower real interest rates, or from more dovish Fed than it’s currently...

The destruction of money is now accelerating in parallel with the deficit and debt expansion. This is the typical course of events for the end game.

The intervention by the central banks on the markets is scrambling the message. Assets that have become at risk, in this inflationary backdrop, are being given excessive valuations. By contrast, the values that protect against the upcoming inflation are still being evaluated at very low levels. At a...