Asia

If you look at the bullish rally that followed the severe decline in price in 2008, there is a fan (dotted line) on which there has been no pullback in 2008. I think we’re going to get this pullback in the leg of decline to come, in order to better consolidate the rise that will follow.

In spite of not normally looking back, I have had a look at a Newsletter that I wrote in July 2009 when gold was just over $900 and the Dow 9,100. It was called “The Dark Years are here” and received quite a lot of attention at the time. This was at the end of the sub-prime crisis when the Dow had just declined by 60% and gold had risen from $250 in 1999 to $925.

This is it! The autumn of 2018 will be momentous in the world economy, markets and politics. We are now seeing the Last Hurrah for stocks, bonds, the dollar and most asset markets.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has bought gold for the first time in nearly a decade, signalling that the metal could be in demand as a store of value when returns and capital values of fixed-income bonds are declining in a rising rate environment.

How will Iran, Russia, and Turkey react to the plethora of financial sanctions being placed on them by the United States? Well, they will do what anyone being beaten with a stick would do: they will try to escape.

The shortage is here. It is a fact. In the weeks to come, you should find many articles to read about the growing delays in delivery of silver. There should be real problems for delivery at the end of September and the beginning of October.

Whilst the US government worries about the military threat of Russia, and the trade deficit with China, they show no concern for the real problems. To understand what is really happening, all we need to do is to Follow the Money. The flows of real money reveal where global economic power is moving.

Chindia & Silk Road gold consumption for March.

A war with Iran would eliminate the largest non-USD oil exporter. One thing leads to another. The gold repatriations are a precursor to a currency war and armed conflict. That’s what drives US foreign policy.

The time to own physical gold and silver is today and not when they move to new highs. Both metals are at inflation adjusted historical lows and the downside risk is minimal. Also, they probably are the most undervalued of all assets currently.