Debt

As the world economy desperately tries to navigate to a safe harbour, is it going be pulled down by the six-headed monster Scylla or the Charybdis whirlpool (Homer’s Odyssey). It seems likely that Scylla is now starting to swallow parts the world before Charybdis will finish it off. A world severely weakened by debt and mismanagement is unlikely to have the strength of Odysseus to pass both obstacles without disastrous consequences.

Why don’t Powell and Lagarde tell the people that central bank actions are destroying the economy and the value of the country’s money. The dollar has lost 86% in this century and the Euro 82%, measured in real money. Real money is of course gold since it represents constant purchasing power and is the only money which has survived in history.

Debt is virtually the opposite of Gold and Silver. When debt is deflated, it provides the fuel for Gold and Silver to rise significantly in order to catch up. It is really the balancing of a mathematical formula; the balancing of debt-based monetary system abuse. We are still early in this “catch up”, and Silver and Gold is really still at a bottom when it comes to debt.

Central banks have since then frenetically kept the party going by manufacturing worthless paper money. The music should have stopped in 2008 but the participants are still dancing on the grave of a system that is about to succumb.

By rolling over the debt of ailing banks (new loans to pay off old ones), the ECB is giving them a very bad habit, namely that of governments with perpetual deficits, which are thus exempting themselves from any budgetary effort. What is the point of cleaning up one's balance sheet if the ECB graciously provides the necessary liquidity? The intrinsic situation of the large European banks is therefore not going to improve, at the greatest risk to savers...

In the next few years, the world will learn that the printing of money can never create prosperity. That is the time when the masses will turn to gold and silver. At that point, there will be virtually no physical precious metals to buy at any price.

On June 3, 2020, at the World Economic Forum, Kristalina Georgieva, the current director of the IMF, gave a conference untitled "The Great Reset". During her speech, she referred to the 1944 Bretton Woods conference, which had set the monetary rules for the following decades and she declared that this epidemic is an opportunity to change the world.

Despite the clear “suckers rally” in risk assets, Egon discusses the relative outperformance of gold vis-à-vis exchanges like the DOW while warning of the inevitable (hyper-) inflation to come, using none other than the “Big Mac Indicator” to make this reality all-too clear.

Egon von Greyerz and Grant Williams address global market risks, the now total disconnect between the recent price rise of risk assets and the current collapse in economic and social signals. They obviously also cover the role of gold as a historically consistent solution to both inevitable market volatility and the declining purchasing power of fiat currencies around the globe.

History repeats itself with staggering similarity. The Crises of the 3rd Century and today have much in common. All empires have the seeds of their own destruction within them. So if we look back almost 2000 years to the Roman Empire we will find exactly the same symptoms as today.