COMEX Gold Stockpiles - Trading From Physical to Paper

Published by Nick Laird | Jul 2, 2015 | Articles

Since 2002 the trend has been to store Registered gold at COMEX - with over 8.5 million ounces have been stockpiled there.

Also noticeable is Eligible stocks which have declined to 0.5 million ounces.


COMEX depository warehouse gold stocks


The next chart shows COMEX Deliveries vs Stockpiles.

I have added in 2015 deliveries up to June & so far only 0.7 million ounces this year.

This shows that deliveries have declined from around 9 million ounces to approx 2 million ounces per year.


COMEX gold deliveries vs stockpile


Here's another view showing the decline in deliveries.


COMEX Warehouse Gold Deliveries


Meanwhile trading has increased significantly over the period as shown with daily volumes & open interest.




And with derivative positions


Gold Cost Futures Open Interest by Position


With available stocks now down to approx 0.5 million ounces & so many paper contracts being traded we now see the metric "Owner's per Ounce" skyrocket.

This metric measures the available gold at COMEX (Registered) vs the current paper contracts open against them.


COMEX Warehouse - Registered Gold Stocks Cover


The above charts are thus confirming that COMEX has changed over the last decade.

Now we see a lot less gold being delivered, a lot more gold being held & huge increases in the number of paper trades.

It appears that COMEX has become the Los Vegas of paper trading whilst Asia is taking over the physical supply.


China India Gold Demand


It is interesting to note that the COMEX recently added a KiloBar contract trading in Hong Kong that is now delivering more physical than COMEX in New York.

Since late March it has delivered approx 321 tonnes of physical gold whereas in New York COMEX has only delivered 22 tonnes for the whole of 2015.


Comex Hong Kong Kilobar Withdrawals


This shows what a sorry state the COMEX has turned into - gambling paper with little correlation to the underlying physical metal.

And so leveraged via derivatives that it is an accident waiting to happen....

If ever the paper markets at COMEX melt down then the price of gold is assured to melt up.

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Tags : Gold Charts COMEX

Nick Laird  Chartist / Member of the Editorial Team


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