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In a recently published article, Nouriel Roubini, one of the most trusted economists on the planet, predicts: “By 2020, the conditions will be ripe for a financial crisis, followed by a global recession.” He states ten reasons for his prediction.

The end of an empire is a dramatic but also drawn out event with very few willing to face the facts. As the end is getting closer, denial is at its peak. We can probably figure out how it will end but not quite when. Looking at the facts, the beginning of the end is here.

Hungary’s central bank increased its gold reserves 10-fold, citing the need to improve its holdings’ safety, joining regional peers with relatively high ownership in the European Union’s east.

In recent weeks we have been wary that, despite highly favorable COTs and Hedgers charts and rotten sentiment indicators etc, a general asset liquidation might drag the PM sector even further down, but Thursday’s extraordinarily positive action by the sector serves to allay those fears.

The coming gold and silver surge is guaranteed. It is not a question of IF but only WHEN. Initially, the imminent revaluation of the precious metals will have nothing to do with an investment mania but with the total mismanagement of the world economy. A spectacular rise in the metals is just a reflection of the mess the world is in.

With global investment markets standing at crossroads, investors have the option to lose it all or to benefit from the biggest wealth transfer in history.

Drug money laundering saved the banking system from defaulting during the 2008 crisis. Is this an exaggerated statement?

If you look at the bullish rally that followed the severe decline in price in 2008, there is a fan (dotted line) on which there has been no pullback in 2008. I think we’re going to get this pullback in the leg of decline to come, in order to better consolidate the rise that will follow.

There are two schools of thought right now, and both sides are firmly convinced they are correct. The bullish case: Gold started a new cyclical bull market in late 2015. The bearish case: The bounce out of the 2015 bottom was just a counter trend bear market rally, and at best gold is stuck in a long sideways channel similar to the 1980-2001 period. While I have to admit there is a lot of compelling evidence to support the bearish scenario I’m not convinced that is correct.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Ray Dalio, Jeffery Gundlach and Nouriel Roubini all share pessimistic views. Let’s examine together the basic economic reasons for their thinking.