On March 17th, I published the long-term graph of gold in which I pointed out that the structure was bullish and no bearish signs were seen. After about two months of consolidation, gold has touched the red evolvent from which it immediately rebounded: this confirms not only that the structure is perfectly aligned to a bullish view, but that the red evolvent represents exactly the support to be monitored. Another important note is represented by the fact that all the indicators have maintained the bullish setting remaining above the support levels and this further strengthens the bullish view. Now we need to wait for both the bearish trendline and the $1350-$1360 level to break, which will mark the real strong mid-term upward signal.
Technical signals on the weekly chart confirm bullish expectations
There are technical evidences on the weekly charts that would indicate that the past week has triggered a medium-term bullish signal while the long-term moving average has been perfectly tested in this corrective phase and the two indicators have reversed the trend from the oversold zone. Since 2015, this type of signal has been triggered 5 times and every time we have seen an important rise. The average increase was +16.4% within 4 to 8 months. Also in this case it is clear that the level of $1350-$1360 will represent the main resistance beyond which broadly bullish scenarios will open in the coming months.
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Stefano Bottaioli Technical Analyst / Investment Consultant
Stefano Bottaioli is an investment consultant working since 2000 at Banca Consulia. He has worked in financial markets as technical analyst, portfolio manager, chartist and consultant. He combines cyclical analysis with technical systems, discretionary charts, all based on Elliott and DeMark systems. Stefano publishes a financial Blog – www.stefanobottaioli.it – a daily appointment regarding the news from the markets, opportunities and trading ideas above all in commodities, such gold & gold stocks (available mainly by subscription).